Service Plays Tuesday 7/6/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher 7/6 Game 2

LAD (-155) over FLA

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Greek sports picks play for 7/6

Cards/Rockies over 9.5

Netherlands -165

 

[ugk]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Tuesday’s Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers Staff

Streaking

Clayton Richard (6-4, 2.74), San Diego Padres

San Diego’s southpaw struck out a career-high 10 Rockies batters in his last start. Richard fanned five of the first six hitters in that game and finished with a stat line of one walk, two earned runs and five hits over 7.0 innings of work.

"It was a lot of fun today," Richard said after the 13-3 win. "We had a pretty good approach going into it and attacked the strike zone, and when you get that type of run support, it makes it a lot easier to pitch.

In his previous outing, Richard held the Marlins scoreless through 6.0 innings on the bump while striking out five. Both of his last two starts have led to Padres victories.

Slumping

Jeff Francis (2-3, 4.67), Colorado Rockies

The Franchise only lasted three innings last Wednesday against a San Diego club that many consider to be offensively challenged. The Friars lit Francis up for a career-high eight earned runs on seven hits. He walked three hitters and failed to strike out a single Padre.

"Nobody likes to give up eight runs," said Francis. "I've had days like this before and this obviously ranks up there. I missed on a lot of pitches. I was falling behind so many batters."

Francis has yielded no less than three earned runs in each of his last three starts. The lefty made six June appearances for Colorado and went 1-2 with 22 runs allowed over a span of 35.1 innings. The over has cashed in three of Francis’ last four starts.

Returning

Erik Bedard (0-0, 0.00), Seattle Mariners

The M’s are hoping to see some returns on that hefty contract they signed Bedard to a few years back. The left-hander is coming off surgery of a torn labrum and hasn’t pitched in the majors since July 25 of last year.

"I talked to (Triple-A manager) Darren Brown and he said [Bedard] was fine," manager Don Wakamatsu said. "His changeup command was so-so and his velocity was 88 to 93, but the biggest thing for us is that he felt good after."

Bedard will no doubt be on a tight pitch count in his first game back. In his only minor league start, Bedard allowed three hits and one earned run over 4.1 innings.

Felix Doubront (1-0, 5.40) Boston Red Sox

Doubront earned a win in his major league debut on June 18 against the Dodgers but feels he is more prepared for the second start of his career.
"I feel more confident, more relaxed this time," said Doubront, who surrendered three earned runs in 5.0 innings during the win over Los Angeles. "I know how it works now."

Before being called up, the 22-year-old Venezuelan had a 6-1 record and 2.11 ERA between Double- and Triple-A ball this season. Doubront is taking the rotation spot of Clay Buchholz who was placed on the 15-day DL Monday. The lefty could be a candidate for the bullpen once Buchholz returns.

 

[ugk]

HOT LINES

Tuesday's Best MLB Bets

St. Louis Cardinals at Colorado Rockies (-136, 9.5)

Motivation can come from a number of different places. A recent source that could drive MLB players to perform was the announcement of the All-Star Game rosters.

The Rockies organization feels that two of its players were snubbed after being left off the NL team. Fans could make amends for outfielder Carlos Gonzalez’s oversight by voting him in for the final roster spot but catcher Miguel Olivo still contends that he should be in Anaheim next week.

"In my mind, I thought I put the numbers (up) and (with) all my hustling and all my energy, I think I have (the credentials for) being there and playing in the All-Star Game," Olivo said.

Olivo is hitting .307 with 11 homers and 39 RBIs while leading all catchers in slugging percentage (.540). The eight-year veteran is having a career year and has never been voted in as an All-Star.

Gonzalez, who is hitting .295 with 14 home runs, 52 RBIs and 12 stolen bases, has to contend with Heath Bell, Billy Wagner, Ryan Zimmerman and Joey Votto in the final online vote.

Now that Colorado closer Huston Street is back to shore up the bullpen problems, the Rockies have started to roll. The team is 5-2 in its last seven games and the two aforementioned hitters should help continue that winning trend while wanting to prove they should be among MLB’s best.

Pick: Colorado Rockies


San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals (-105, 7.5)

Neither of these teams produces runs at a ridiculous rate, but one is in first place and the other is in last place.

San Diego ranks 22nd in scoring this season (339 runs) and have the fifth-to-worst team batting average (.245). But the Friars lead their NL West foes by 3.5 games because of incredible pitching and timely hitting.

Despite having the most-lauded arm in The Show, the Nats aren’t supplying their hurlers with much run support, having amassed only 337 runs this year.

To put things in a simplified perspective, the Pads have not scored more than three runs in nine of their last 13 outings but only lost four of those games. On the flip side, Washington has not plated more than three runners in 12 of its last 18 games but went 5-13 in that stretch.

The Padres have won five of their last six road games and all but one of those contests played under the total. Look for that trend to continue Tuesday.

Pick: Under

 

[ugk]

WNBA NEWS AND NOTES
WNBA First Half Season's Betting Trends
By Covers Staff


It’s getting to the point where degenerate gambles can no longer ignore the WNBA. The World Cup is finishing up and the boys of summer will soon be taking their mid-season break at the All-Star Game.

So we thought we'd try and help get those who aren't up to speed with the lady action on the hardwood. Here are some trends from the first half of the WNBA season bettors should keep in mind:

The Shock Are Far And Away The Worst Team In The League

The dynasty is over for the 2003, 2005, 2008 champions and 2007 finalists. The team relocated from Detroit to Tulsa after a disappointing 2009 campaign and things have only gotten worse since.

Tulsa is on a 10-game losing streak and has covered the spread just once during the winless run, despite getting big points from oddsmakers.

The Mercury Aren’t Rising

The WNBA defending champs are in the midst of a disappointing season. Despite leading the league in scoring by a wide margin, Phoenix is the third-worst bet going (7-10 ATS).

The Mercury cashed plenty of over tickets at the start of the year but oddsmakers seem to have caught on. The under is 3-2 in Phoenix’s last five contests.

Los Angeles Has No Spark Without Parker

Candace Parker, the Spark’s and, arguably, league’s best player, was shelved for the rest of the season after she dislocated her shoulder back in the middle of June.

Oddsmakers properly adjusted as the Spark have covered in three of their six games since despite winning just one of those games outright.

The total seems to be the betting option with more value for Los Angeles. The team has played under the total in five of their six games since Parker’s injury.

Storm A-Brewin’

The Seattle Storm are the class of the league at the season’s midway mark. Former league MVP Lauren Jackson dominates the paint and is a big part of the reason Seattle owns the best rebounding differential at +7.5.

The Storm are 11-1 straight up and 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 games. Over the stretch they’ve bested league powers Indiana and Atlanta.

 

[ugk]

LADY LUCK

Tuesday's Best WNBA Bets

New York Liberty at Seattle Storm (-10, 151.5)

Just because the WNBA is an all-women’s league, don’t expect the behavior to be ladylike.

Liberty forward Cappie Pondexter was tossed from New York’s 97-82 loss to the Phoenix Mercury after being dealt two flagrant fouls following a tussle underneath the hoop with former teammate Penny Taylor Saturday night.

"I'm sayin this to all my fans I would never do anything on the court to hurt anyone! Imma competitor 1st,” Pondexter posted on her Twitter account.

The Liberty’s loss snapped a three-game winning streak and dropped the team to 7-8 straight up and against the spread on the season. Now, New York must clear its head for a tough trip to the West Coast to face the WNBA’s top team.

Seattle has won six games in a row, covering the spread in five of those outings. The Storm are 11-5-1 ATS this year, including a 92-84 win over the Liberty as 2-point home favorites.

Pick: Seattle Storm


Connecticut Sun at San Antonio Silver Stars (PK, 154.5)

The Sun have had a hard time rising on the road this season, posting a 3-5 record in opposing arenas.

Those troubles have been extrapolated by Connecticut’s 2-5-1 ATS mark over those eight games. The Sun lost their most recent outing, falling 92-80 to the Chicago Sky as 1-point road underdogs. Connecticut has been a solid play at home, going 6-2 ATS inside Mohegan Sun Arena, but can’t find consistency on the road.

“Everybody was all over the boards with predictions for us (entering the season),” head coach Mike Thibault told the Norwich Bulletin. “But when we started out, we were winning home games in front of our fans, all of a sudden the expectations changed. And mine probably did, too. And now I’m trying to temper my frustration with a sense of reality, too.”

Connecticut scored just 29 points in the first half of Thursday’s loss to Chicago, shooting a dismal 35 percent in the first two quarters. The Sun have struggled to get off to good starts and with the next three games on the road, may have to wait until they return home – on July 17 – to figure it out.

Pick: San Antonio Silver Stars

 

[ugk]

BETTOR'S TIPS AND NOTES
Bettor's Best Friend (BBF): Tuesday's Wagering Tips
By Covers Staff


Lines To Keep An Eye On

Connecticut Sun at San Antonio Silver Stars – The home team has moved from a 1-point underdog to a 1.5-point favorite since the line was released.

Orioles at Tigers – Detroit opened as a -172 favorite but a few markets have moved the moneyline to as high as -200.

Cubs at Diamondbacks – The total for this game has jumped to 9.5 on most boards after opening at 9.

Weather Report

(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Indians at Rangers – The forecast calls for a 30-40 percent chance of rain throughout the game.

Angels at White Sox – A 30 percent chance of rain is in the forecast.

Who’s Hot

Seattle (WNBA) is 4-0 SU in its last four meetings versus New York and is 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall.

The Padres have won three straight games and are 7-3 over their last 10.

Who’s Not

Phoenix (WNBA) has lost six of its last seven games, going 3-4 ATS in that timeframe.

San Francisco is 2-8 during a 10-game stretch.

Key Stat

6.00 – Armando Galarraga’s ERA since his near perfect game on June 2.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

The Boston Red Sox placed right-hander Clay Buchholz on the 15-day disabled list. The move was made retroactive to last Sunday, therefore he will be able to be activated immediately after the All-Star break. Buchholz (10-4, 2.45 ERA) suffered a minor hamstring tear while running the bases against the San Francisco Giants on June 26. Left-hander Felix Doubront will take his spot in the rotation and face the Rays Tuesday.

Game Of The Day

Uruguay vs. Netherlands

Notable Quotable

"In my mind, I thought I put the numbers (up) and (with) all my hustling and all my energy, I think I have (the credentials for) being there and playing in the All-Star Game. I don't know what I can do to make the All-Star Game because I think I had enough to be there. But I know I'm an All-Star for my teammates, for my family. I'm an All-Star for a lot of people."

-- Rockies catcher Miguel Olivo who was snubbed by MLB fans for leaving him off the NL All-Star roster.

Tips And Notes

- The Rays are a respectable 3-4 since the B.J. Upton and Evan Longoria soap opera but there may be more than meets the eye regarding that saga. Upton was held out of the starting lineup for four straight games after the altercation because of a supposed quadriceps injury. He was back in the lineup two games after that but was not on the card for Monday’s game against Boston. Upton was told he was benched because of his "numbers" against Sox starter Daisuke Matsuzaka. Tampa Bay has been in a bit of a funk recently, dropping 13 of its last 22 games, and relationships may not be peachy in the clubhouse.

- Laying chalk is normally not a good betting habit to slide into. That’s why you see most successful handicappers play small favorites or underdogs. As of July 5, MLB favorites had compiled a record of 720-527 this year. While that winning percentage looks nice, favorites are collectively down 17.76 units on the season. MLB seems to be much more balanced this season compared to years past (just look at tight division races) so it makes sense that underdogs have turned a nice profit.

- The Miami Herald reported Monday that Florida manager Edwin Rodriguez has asked closer Leo Nunez to quit using his changeup so often. Rodriguez said that Nunez “needs to go back to being a power pitcher, using his fastball and slider more.” Problem is, if we here at Covers are reading this then other MLB teams are too. The Marlins have been struggling and Nunez is a big reason for it. The fireballer has yielded two runs in two of his last three outings and has recorded one save since June 23. Until Nunez gets his head back on straight, Fins backers might want to look toward a five-inning line.

 

[ugk]

SOCCER NEWS AND NOTES
Uruguay vs. Netherlands: What Bettors Need To Know
By Michael Da Silva


Uruguay vs Netherlands

Odds: Uruguay +290 to advance, Netherlands -314 to advance; Over/under (2)

So how many of you tipped Uruguay to get this far? The South Americans will play their first World Cup semi-final since they lost 3-1 to Brazil in 1970. But given that they will face the Dutch, the conquerors of Brazil, Diego Forlan and company have their work cut out if Uruguay are to become the unlikeliest World Cup finalists of all time.

Game Strategy

Uruguay have a big problem in attack with Luis Suarez - one of their most important goal threats – suspended. But, if it wasn’t for his deliberate hand ball in the last minute of extra time against Ghana, Uruguay would already be on the flight home.

Suarez is now considered a martyr in his homeland but will be watching from the sidelines as Diego Forlan spearheads Uruguay’s attack. Former Uruguayian forward, Gus Poyet, gave his view on the Suarez handball. He said: "When you are naive, you don't win football games. Suarez put himself in front of the whole country and because of that Uruguay is in the semi-finals.''

The Dutch meanwhile are surfing the crest of a wave after coming from behind to beat the tournament favorites, Brazil, in dramatic style on Friday. Two goals from Wesley Sneijder puts him in contention for the Golden Boot, and puts the Netherlands within touching distance of their first World Cup final since 1978.

With no major injury concerns and Arjen Robben back to his match-winning best, the Netherlands are dreaming of the glory they have been denied on so many occasions before.

But despite the great Dutch sides of the past, they have never won football’s ultimate prize, with coach Bert van Marwijk warning his players against complacency.

"We have witnessed it before in the past,” he told reporters. “Think about two years ago at the European Championships - we beat Italy and France and everybody already thought we would become European champions but we didn't even survive the quarter-finals because we thought that we were already there.

“That's what I've tried to make clear, that this has to be different. Until now, the players have shown that they've picked that up very well but this will be another important test.”

Know Your Enemy

Uruguay and Netherlands have never met at a World Cup finals. Both sides are saddled with crippling expectations, but for completely different reasons.

Uruguay were winners of the inaugural competition in 1930 and again 20 years later in 1950. But this merely masks 60 years of hurt for one of South America’s less high-profile footballing nations.

The Dutch are expectant given that this is arguably their strongest team since that of the famous ‘Total Football’ teams of the 1970s. But that decade will be remembered just as much for the two World Cup final defeats (in ’74 and ’78) as the great football they produced.

Players To Watch

Uruguay – Diego Forlan

In Suarez’s absence, Diego Forlan is the man expected to fire Uruguay into the final. With 27 goals in 67 games, he is as prolific for his country as he is at club level in Spain with Atletico Madrid. Forlan already has three goals in this competition. He’ll try his best to exploit a sometimes shaky Dutch defense and propel his home nation into the World Cup final.

Netherlands – Robin van Persie

Having spent another season struggling with injury, van Persie came into this tournament fresh and eager to remind people of his world-class talents. Although he’s yet to hit his sparkling top form, the Arsenal man has looked sharp. Van Persie can be deadly when given the chance and, given that he has been passed fit to play after picking up a knock to his elbow, he’s well worth backing to score at any time.

Weather

Another dry but chilly evening in Cape Town is forecast.

Stat Attack

Three of Diego Forlan’s four World Cup goals have come from outside the box.

The Netherlands have played a higher proportion of their passes in their own half (48 percent) than any side at this World Cup.

Mark van Bommel has won more tackles than any other player (19) at the 2010 World Cup.

If the winner of Uruguay and Netherlands loses in the final, the only unbeaten team in the World Cup will be New Zealand – the lowest positioned team in FIFA’s world rankings of the 32 nations who qualified for the 2010 World Cup

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tuesday, July 6

Hot pitchers
-- Richard is 5-2, 2.28 in his last ten starts. LHernandez is 1-0, 3.15 in his last three starts.
-- Harang is 1-1, 3.26 in his last three starts, but was scratched from last night's start with back spasms.
-- Wolf is 2-1, 3.20 in his last four starts.
-- WRodriguez is 2-0, 2.08 in his last couple starts.
-- Silva has a 2.21 RA in his last six starts. Enright won his first MLB start, allowing one run in five IP.
-- Padilla has a 1.93 RA in his last couple starts.

-- Pavano is 4-0, 2.06 in his last five starts.
-- Niemann has a 2.70 RA in his last three starts; Rays are 12-1 with him if they score three or more runs.
-- Peavy is 3-1, 1.55 in his last four starts. Weaver is 3-0, 1.67 in his last four starts.
-- Rangers are 11-3 in Wilson's last fourteen starts.
-- Cahill is 7-0, 2.15 in his last nine starts. Sabathia is 6-0, 2.20 in his last six starts.
-- Greinke is 3-0, 4.22 in his last four starts, but Royals are 1-6 in his last seven road outings.

Cold pitchers
-- JSantana is 1-3, 4.96 in his last five starts.
-- Hamels is 1-5, 4.73 in his last seven starts. Jurrjens is 0-3, 11.45 in three road starts this season.
-- Bumgarner is 0-2, 5.14 in his first two big league starts.
-- Lincoln is 1-2, 5.23 in five starts this season.
-- Francis is 0-1, 8.62 in his last three starts. Hawksworth is 1-2, 6.60 in three starts this season.
-- Volstad is 0-1, 5.94 in his last three starts.

-- Litsch is 0-3, 6.98 in four starts this season.
-- Arrieta is 0-2, 9.45 in his last three starts. Galarraga is 1-1, 8.79 in his last three starts.
-- Doubrant allowed five runs in five IP in his first '10 start.
-- Masterson is 1-5, 7.36 in his last seven road starts.
-- Rowland-Smith is 1-7, 7.50 in his last nine starts.

Totals
-- Under is 11-2 in San Diego's last thirteen road games.
-- Eight of last ten Giant road games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Arizona home games stayed went over the total.
-- Over is 10-4 in last fourteen games at Minute Maid Park.
-- Under is 9-1-2 in last twelve Atlanta games.
-- Five of last six games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Under is 10-4-1 in Reds' last fifteen road games.
-- Over is 11-4-1 in Marlins' last sixteen road games.

-- Last five Minnesota road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Detroit games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Angel road games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Tampa Bay home games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Cleveland road games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Bronx road games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Kansas City road games stayed under the total.

Hot Teams
-- Padres won five of their last six road games. Nationals are 9-3 in first game of their last twelve home series.
-- Phillies won six of their last seven home games.
-- Reds won 11 of their last 14 games. Mets are 14-4 in their last 18 at home.
-- Pirates won four of their last five home games.
-- Rockies are 10-3 in their last thirteen home games.
-- Dodgers won five of their last seven games.

-- Detroit won 13 of its last 15 home games.
-- Angels are 12-4 in their last sixteen road games. White Sox won eight of their last nine home games.
-- Indians won seven of their last nine games.
-- Tampa Bay won five of its last six games. Red Sox are 5-2 in second game of road series, if they lost the opener.
-- Rangers are 8-4 in their last twelve home games.
-- A's won seven of their last ten games. Bronx won five of its last six road games.
-- Mariners won five of their last seven home games. Royals won four of their last five games overall.

Cold Teams
-- Braves lost their last four road games, scoring nine runs.
-- Giants lost eight of their last ten games. Brewers lost three of their last four contests.
-- Astros lost six of last nine games, scoring two runs in last three.
-- Cardinals are 4-8 in their last twelve road games.
-- Arizona is 6-13 in its last 19 games. Cubs are 6-11 in their last 17.
-- Marlins are 4-7 in last eleven games, but won the last two.

-- Twins lost five of their last six road games. Blue Jays lost seven of last eight games overall.
-- Orioles lost 19 of their last 23 road games.
-- Rangers lost three of their last four games.

Umpires
These are the only umpires we know for Tuesday's games........
-- Atl-Phil-- Over is 10-3 in last thirteen TWelke games.
-- Cin-NY-- Over is 10-4 in Wegner's last fourteen games.
-- SF-Mil-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Gibson games.
-- Chi-Az-- Underdog is 6-6 (+$174) in last dozen Barksdale games.
-- Fla-LA-- Four of last five Hickox games went over the total.

-- Balt-Det-- Five of last six West games went over the total.
-- Bos-TB-- Under is 9-3 in Hoye'slast twelve games behind plate.
-- Clev-Tex-- Under is 8-4-2 in last fourteen Guccione games.
-- LA-Chi-- Home side won five of last six Fairchild games, with the dog winning his last three (+$396).
-- NY-A's-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Winters games.
-- KC-Sea-- Underdogs are 10-3 (+$1,153) in last 13 Randazzo games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Phillies Monday night.

Tuesday it's the Braves. The deficit is 740 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

The Rays rallied for Hondo then held the Sox at bay last night to lower to deficit to 735 colemans.

Tonight, it will be a downer if the Reds don't solve Santana -- 10 units on Cincy.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
474 - 349 run 58 %

Bonus Play Tues Dodgers -160

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

KIKI SPORTS

Tuesday July 6th

2 units San Diego/Washington UNDER 7.5
1 unit San Fran +140
1 unit White Sox +100

WORLD CUP:
2 units Netherlands -175

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Proffesional tipster 82-65-15 (yesterday no pick)

06.07.2010 International World Cup Uruguay - Netherlands Netherlands

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sampicks 38-25-3 (yesterday no pick)

Interntional - World Cup - 19:30
URUGUAY - NETHERLANDS take NETHERLANDS to win
Bet365 odds: 1.62
Best odds: 1.67 Pinnacle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bet.Powa.Fr 66-34 (yesterday no pick)

Free pick : Uruguay - Netherlands : Under 2.5 goals @ 1.65

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sportgenius

RANGERS UNDER 9 1/2

BLUE JAYS UNDER 9

CUBS ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Twins
W.Sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GAMBLERS DATA
O's / Tigers over 9.5